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What Are the Odds?

December 29, 2011 in Blogs

After what I estimate to be a year in absentia, John Mastick dropped me a note a few days ago to wish me a merry Christmas, and after a three-hour phone conversation (I’m going to have to buy more minutes, I never talk that long) he is eager to resume playing Multiverser (those on the forum know that I call him “John 4″ and his handle is “Johnny Angel”) and to get down here to play with Collision.  There’s a story there, because Baxter and I had found a drummer, and then John had contacted me and said he wanted to play drums, and persuaded me to try running two drummers; I said I would if the other drummer agreed, but we lost him, and then we lost touch with John.  When Nick appeared, I said that we theoretically had a drummer, but we wanted to run two drummers, and he was cool with that, so hopefully sometime in January we’ll see just how it works.

Meanwhile, my readership for the Examiner temporal anomalies articles.  Whether people are finally finding them, or the volume of past articles is building a growing audience, or the new films are of particular interest, I could not say, but today I published Blackadder Back & Forth part 2:  the bet, giving a quick overview of all the convoluted time travel in the film and eliminating the possibility of a fixed time resolution to the story.

I read the recent Eric Ashley piece as well.  Practise Bits:  Locked is a new take on the dead man in sealed room motif with a few fresh insights along the way.

I’ve had a few interruptions today, but hopefully still have time to finish what needs to be done if I hurry and encounter no further delays.

–M. J. Young

New Movies

December 26, 2011 in Blogs

I thought it would be silly to post here to announce the publication of an article here, since the blog post would push the article post out of view, so I did not mention the article Off Topic:  Why I am Not a Libertarian.  Quite a few people found it here, judging from comments here and at Facebook, so I mention it now because I’m bumping it for a different reason.

I also did not think it made that much sense to announce here that I was announcing at The Examiner news of a coming time travel movie, in Men in Black III Remakes History, since announcing it here in some ways obviates the need to announce it there.  But since I have as of this morning started a new series on temporal anomalies with Blackadder Back & Forth part 1:  what it is, it’s time to communicate the addition of all of these to the audience here.

I am wanted by family; hopefully I will be able to integrate the rest of today’s work into the needs here.

–M. J. Young

Off Topic: Why I am Not a Libertarian

December 23, 2011 in Articles

I received a private message from someone close to me who indicated that Ron Paul was the only candidate he thought he might support for President.  I have many contacts on the Internet who are strong supporters of Paul, and most of them claim the title “Libertarian”, which arguably is the position Paul represents.  I have my concerns.  I think Paul is one of the most intelligent people in American politics, and he might well make a good President of these United States; but there are aspects of Libertarianism, at least as it appears in his platform, that I find troublesome.  This, then, should not be taken as an attack on Paul, nor on Libertarianism, nor indeed an attack at all, but simply my expression of my concerns about a few issues about which he and other Libertarians seem to be in agreement.

I should preface this by stating that I have always considered myself an independent, and am the son of independents, but that I have also tended to be conservative, seeing at a very early age that it is very hard to go back to what was.  Zymurgy’s Law of Evolving Dynamic Systems has proved true in the political and social areas as well:  if you open a can of worms, the only way to re-can it is to use a bigger can.  The last Democrat I supported at the national level was Carter, and I supported third-party-candidate Anderson in the Carter-Reagan race, but have since supported Republican candidates in national offices almost exclusively, for reasons that will appear later.

Welfare

I am very acutely aware that the welfare system in this country is badly in need of overhaul. Although it cannot be said that the majority of Americans are on public assistance, I have seen indicators that show that that such recipients form the majority of voters in most key voting districts of most heavily populated areas, and thus that politicians who support increasing the amount of money going to those who cannot or do not support themselves have a greater chance of being elected nationally.  I have also seen the “entitlement program” mentality first-hand, and I think that calling the kindness of others moderated through government organization “entitlement” is symptomatic of the problem.  We have too many grasshoppers (who think the world owes them a living) and not enough ants (who work to provide it).

However, the strict conservative view that all such programs should be eliminated, even in a gradual process, suffers from a flaw it fails to see.  We might say that it lacks compassion–a charge that can be raised in relation to most of my objections to Libertarian policy–but I think that it is more problematic than that.

The mistake lies in assuming that most people are generous enough that without government coercion the haves would provide amply for the have-nots.  We want to believe this about ourselves, that we are basically generous people.  Yet there is an economic reality that mitigates against this.  Certainly in times of abundance we freely give from our surplus to meet the needs of those who for whatever reason do not directly benefit from national prosperity.  Yet it is in the nature of economics that we have cycles, periodic downturns; and the more we do to delay these, the steeper and more severe they are when they come.  During those times of scarcity, we recognize that what we have is barely enough to meet our own perceived needs, and so we give less to meet the needs of others.  It is a bit like Tevye’s beggar, asking, “So because you had a bad week I should suffer?”  Yet when we have a bad year, the poor suffer the most because those who would give to them are struggling themselves.

There are three other factors that are significant in this.

One is that the higher you are on the economic ladder, the more isolated you are from those on the bottom.  It is easy to understand Marie Antoinette’s error, that if the peasants have no bread they should make do by eating cake instead.  From the perspective of some, poverty is having only one car and two televisions, and not being able to dine at the Tavern on the Green or vacation in Europe.  Those who are close enough to the poor to see the plight of homelessness, of lack of food and clothing, of the cycle that you can’t get a job because you have no car and you can’t get a car because you have no job, don’t have enough to spare to make a difference.  Those who might be able to make a difference are too far removed from the problem to see the need as it is.

Second, the Rockefeller story has great merit.  For those who do not know, when there was only one Rockefeller, one wealthy magnate controlling that vast fortune, someone approached him and asked if it wouldn’t be better to have a system that distributed wealth more evenly.  Rather than object that he had earned his fortune fairly, Rockefeller agreed and said from that moment he was going to begin distributing his wealth evenly with everyone beginning with this man–and promptly gave him a dime.  The top fraction of a percent of the wealthy have a lot of money, but it’s not that much if we take it from them and give it to the vast poor, particularly granted that we can only take it all once.

But there is an aspect that has nothing to do with the wealthy; it has to do with the people in the middle.  When the economy booms, we all feel secure, and we feel we can afford more.  We buy bigger houses, or second cars, or swimming pools.  We improve our lives in ways that have maintenance costs which in times of prosperity are easily met.  Then when the times of scarcity come, we still have those maintenance costs.  We have even less to share with the less fortunate.

Voluntary charity has never been sufficient to eliminate poverty.  Those who believe it will are making exactly the same mistake as the communists they most despise.  That mistake is in believing in the basic altruism of humans, that all of us will give to relieve the suffering of others even if we have to give until it hurts, and that when times change such that it hurts more we will give more.  The reality is that most of us will give whatever pittance will make us feel good about our own altruism, and believe that if everyone else were as generous as we are poverty would be eliminated.

Thus I am persuaded that we cannot eliminate all social welfare programs no matter how poorly they work now, no matter how much they now encourage dependency instead of diligence.  We need these programs.  We need to fix them, certainly, but we cannot expect individual charity to fill the need.

Military

One of the most touted planks in the Libertarian platform is the idea that we should cut back the military primarily by bringing home the troops.  It is noted that we have American military bases all over the world, and we are told that these create bad feeling against us as we prop up governments that are not kind to their people.  If we closed all foreign military installations, stopped providing troops around the world, and pared down the military to something just large enough to manage our own defense, we would save a substantial part of the budget and reduce the need for such a large army by no longer making ourselves a target.

Again we have a lack of compassion displayed here.  This type of isolationism communicates to the rest of the world that we do not care if they all kill each other as long as they leave us alone.  The idea that a Kuwait could be invaded by an Iraq and that’s just too bad for Kuwait because we’ll buy Kuwaiti oil from Iraq after the dust settles is offensive to anyone who claims to care about the lives of people elsewhere in the world.  The statement that all that is necessary for evil to prosper is for good men to do nothing was made in part about the actions of nations.  If America withdraws its military support from allies elsewhere, the world will be the worse for it.

However, the issue goes deeper than merely whether we ought to care about the welfare of other nations.  The fact is that we have a self-interest–not whether we can buy Kuwaiti oil at acceptable prices, but whether we have allies in a world with new divisions.  The Domino Theory of the 1960s (that communism would overcome all the nations of the world one at a time until the United States stood alone against a worldwide communist dictatorship) was certainly simplistic, but it was not entirely without merit.  We are faced by Oriental Communism, Middle-eastern Jihadism, and other groups, each of which is seeking to expand its influence.  One of the arguments of that earlier time was that those countries we do not support will get their support from our enemies, and so become our enemies.  The fact that many of those little skirmishes were very much about America and Russia funding and supporting opposite sides (one the government and the other the rebels) may seem silly in retrospect, but it was an intelligently long-sighted view in some ways, as power on the world stage is comprised largely of the number of countries that will agree with you.

Are we overextended militarily and financially?  Almost certainly we are.  It is again an area in which we need to make intelligent decisions to reorganize, to reduce our spending and our levels of commitment, without losing our allies or our international influence.  To shut it all down is as foolish as to launch new wars.  To think that all terrorism against us is inspired by our military presence abroad and will end when we withdraw is a dubious view of Islamic terrorism.  The most devoted do not oppose us because we support Israel, nor because we support moderate governments, but because we allow people who are not Muslims to live under laws that are not Sharia, and we prosper in ways that they do not.

Moral Issues

I have left these to the end, because to me they are the most important, but they are also important for the more personal of reasons.  That is, I have definite opinions on the subjects of abortion and homosexual rights, and I have clear and defensible reasons for my opinions which are not the subject of this article, and I understand that there are many who do not share my opinions.  The short form is that I am against abortion in most cases and I am against treating homosexuality as if it were normative.  On the latter, I believe that the civil rights of homosexuals ought to be defended, to the same degree that I believe that those of alcoholics and those with mental illness ought to be defended, but I do not believe that we should as a society suggest that we consider homosexuality to be other than an aberration.  It ought not be criminal, but it ought not be encouraged, either.

What matters is that I support conservative candidates as opposed to liberal ones primarily because of these issues.  They are, if you like, my “hot buttons”.  As an independent, I recognize that all the political parties, even the fringe groups, represent at least some worthy ideals, some moral values that ought to be defended.  Choosing between them is a matter of deciding which of those moral values is most important to me.  What I consider the murder of an unimaginable number of preborn children every year is the single most important issue to my mind, and as long as one party continues to support that ongoing slaughter and the other opposes it, I will stand with the opposition.

The Libertarian position, though, is that these “moral” questions are none of my business.  If women want to kill their children the government should not be involved unless the children have reached a defined age or state of development that makes them “citizens”.  If people who see themselves as homosexual couples want to have the same same legal status as heterosexual couples, the government should not make such a discriminatory distinction.  (I do not think the distinction discriminatory, which I explain in In Defense of Marriage, but that again is a separate issue at this point.)  Ron Paul is against abortion, but he is more against having the government involved in the matter.  That to me is a serious problem, and might cause him to lose my vote.  After all, if the position taken on what I regard the most important issue is functionally the same no matter who wins, then I must make my decision based on whatever issues I consider next in importance, and it might be that the termination of social welfare programs seems a worse evil to me than their continuation as they are, and that would mean at least one long-time conservative independent will vote for the Democratic candidate.

What matters, though, isn’t that they will lose my vote, but that they will lose an entire block of voters who hold similar views.  Parties in the American political system are coalitions, or they are inconsequential third-party wannabes.  The Greens, the Socialists, the Communists, all fail because despite their size every issue is a minority party draw.  You win national elections by building platforms to which people with different priorities agree.  One of those coalition members in the Republican party is the Religious Right, the people who are there because the Republicans include their opposition to abortion and homosexuality among that for which the party stands.  Whether those people will find a home with the Democratic party is doubtful; but they will not continue to support a Republican party that ignores their concerns in favor of a hands-off-moral-issues viewpoint.  And the Republicans cannot win without them.  They won’t lose all of them immediately.  Some will stay on the basis that at least some of the party’s other positions are better than the opposition.  But these issues will not die, and the Republican party might if it thinks for a moment that any one of its coalesced groups is the true definition of its policies.

That ultimately is the problem of having the Republican party put forward a purely Libertarian candidate like Paul:  it fails to recognize the coalition, and so risks breaking it.  I would not necessarily vote against Paul; I think again that he may be the most intelligent candidate in the field.  Yet if he fails to recognize the importance of embracing the values of others in the Republican coalition, he will either remain a fringe candidate or turn the Republicans into a fringe party.

That is why I am not a Libertarian.

Wrapping

December 22, 2011 in Blogs

I ought first to extend holiday wishes to all my readers.  It is likely that this will be the last Blogless Lepolt entry before Christmas, and other seasonal holidays are happening already, so without offense to those who do not celebrate, a blessed Christmas to those who do, and appropriate greetings to all who celebrate some other holiday at this time.

Entirely inadvertently, I completed the Examiner temporal anomalies series on Warlock just in time for the holiday break.  Warlock part 8:  fixed explores the problems in a fixed time solution to the film, delving into some of the more serious implications of fixed time theory in the process.  On Monday I will begin the next movie.

I should also mention having read Eric Ashley’s most recent, Practise Bits:  Meet, which has some interesting aspects to it, but I don’t really have time to address any of them at the moment.  Today is the major Christmas shopping day for us.  We don’t have all the lists, but we are aware of presents that need to be purchased, need to acquire a tree, and have today in which to do it.  It is unlikely that I will have time to return, but we will see what we will see.

–M. J. Young

Resolving Time Problems

December 19, 2011 in Blogs

I lost part of today to something more on the order of a general malaise than an illness, and am looking at a clock ticking down the final minutes of my available time while thinking of all the things I wanted to do before that time expired.  (I am also looking at a new version of this posting software which does not appear to permit me to type in HTML, which is frustrating me; but I remain a minority in that preference, I expect, so the fact that I can’t see how to switch to coding is probably because the designers don’t want me to.  I am reminded of a restaurant that went bankrupt a few years back because the perhaps arrogant celebrity chef who created the recipes refused to allow salt and pepper on the table with which the customers might spoil the perfect flavoring of his creations.)

In any case, the solution to my time problems I fear is that I will be leaving as soon as I finish this post, and dealing with the forums tomorrow.

I have also resolved most of the time problems in Warlock (oh, look at that–it appears that the coding appears in-line when you click the buttons; I can handle that) with the penultimate Examiner temporal anomalies article in the series, Warlock part 7:  return, which explains what problems Redferne might cause when he travels to his own time, and why it must not be a problem.  There is one more, which will come on Thursday, and then I’ll turn my attention to Blackadder Back & Forth on Monday.

Eric Ashley continues to be prolific.  We had some discussion about whether a self-destruct in a lifeboat made sense, but otherwise Practise Bits:  Exile was an action-packed and compelling story.  It was followed by Practise Bits:  Exile 2, which is the first article to be posted in our new “Fiction” category, and I admit that I am as surprised as the character that he survived what was described and seems not to have broken anything important.  Then, moving away from the fiction category, he gives us his opinions on several authors in C.J. Henderson; John Ringo; Andrew Klavan; Rick Riordhan, mostly favorable.

–M. J. Young

Simplification

December 15, 2011 in Blogs

Simplification.

That’s what today’s Examiner temporal anomalies article does with the time travel in Warlock, looking at two distinct ways in which the first trip to the future could be the “original” history.  It is entitled Warlock part 6:  foreknowledge, which suggests one, but it finds flaws with both and notes that it leaves us still with most of the problems already identified.

I’ve been keeping up with Eric Ashley’s work as well.  Practise Bits:  Feast took my brief description of dinner at a buffet that included steak and turned it into a story of a starving man feasting.  Actually, Eric, it is generally better for those who are truly starving to eat a considerably lighter breakfast, that is, meal that breaks the fast; a heavy meal atop of digestive system that has been shutting down can be very problematic.  But I enjoyed reliving dinner nonetheless.  As for Practise Bits:  Translate, it is a clever solution, but I don’t think Wycliff translators would approve “See the bunny of God”–at least, not unless there was evidence that the culture had made sacrifices of rabbits as part of their own religious practices.  The fawn, the calf, the kid might all be better, as there is a good probability that if they eat these creatures they have at some point used them for blood sacrifices, or at least given part of the meat to a deity.  Finally, Practise Bits:  Dojo brings a verser into a martial arts training facility in a world that seems a bit like Dark Honor Empire beta–modern technology with feudal law, but done differently.  It also shows the superiority of the monotheism of Christianity over eastern dualism, if briefly.

I’ve got food cooking, I hope (new slow cooker on its first mission), and forum threads to check, but hopefully am on top of everything for today.

–M. J. Young

At the Same Time

December 12, 2011 in Blogs

Today’s Examiner temporal anomalies article proposes a solution for the problem raised in last week’s entry, concerning what happens if the book is buried in Redferne’s grave and then Redferne is removed from the past so that he does not have a grave.  Warlock part 5:  concurrence suggests how it could be in near enough the same place and time that the story could happen without disaster.

Meanwhile, I completed work on a thirteen-part analysis of Blackadder Back & Forth over the weekend which will be ready to start two weeks from today when this one ends.  Since that’s an odd number of entries, I have already written a piece to fill the end of that week, in which I outline a way that a serious time travel outfit could change the past without creating a temporal disaster–but it will be early next year before that posts.

Speaking of next year, I received word over the weekend that the third installment of the Men in Black franchise will include a time travel element, hitting theaters in what we would call late Spring.  That’s one I wish I could get in pre-release so I could write about it in advance, but probably it will be a while before I get that.  Still, I ought to get the release details and publish them as one of my articles, if only to boost readership a bit and look like I’m doing newsworthy things.

Eric Ashley has posted a new one, Practise Bits:  Dragonhunt, which has a number of interesting cultural ideas mixed into a world in which dinosaurs are still around and primitives hunt them to prove their manhood.

I was drafted to drive someone to a medical appointment this afternoon, but promised that as a reward I could treat everyone to the Golden Corral buffet I have wanted to visit since it opened a few weeks back.  I mean, all you can eat is always tempting, but when it includes steak off the grill it becomes even more tempting, and the breaded shrimp, and the bourbon chicken, and the fish fillets, and the pot roast with vegetables, and the creamed spinach and mashed potatoes and macaroni & cheese, and the chocolate covered macaroons and cherry cobbler and peach cobbler and whipped topping and fresh strawberries and fresh pineapple, and I had neither the pecan pie tarts nor the chocolate chip cookies I wanted, and it was still difficult to get home and stay awake long enough to get this far.  We’ll eat there again.

–M. J. Young

The Vagaries of Time

December 8, 2011 in Blogs

I owe an apology to James T. Marsh, whose fascinating article Spellblade I misattributed last time.

As I continue the Examiner temporal anomalies series with Warlock part 4:  when, I find myself exploring the impossible solutions to the problem created by the fact that the book cannot have been in the grave in the original history.  Had it been hidden somewhere where it would have become available later, or sooner, time would have collapsed and our story would never have been told.  Hopefully the article explains why.

My own time was disrupted, as once again a quick drive to the local convenience store turned into the beginning of a much longer string of errands; but I anticipated this, and did what I could to be ready for it.  Hopefully I am not now too tired to do what remains for the day.

The prolific author to whom I misattributed the previously mentioned article remains prolific, giving us four more that I know to be his.  Eric Ashley has given us Practise Bits:  Djinn, in which the wish for world peace brings the beginning of world disaster (although honestly I was expecting that wish to bring the death of every living creature); Practise Bits:  Formation in which the movements of the soldiers are the spell components for the magic; and Practise Bits:  Fibonacci and Practise Bits:  Fibonacci 2, in which it is dancers who form the patterns that raise the magic.

–M. J. Young

Worse for Redferne

December 5, 2011 in Blogs

I reported last week that I was sick but mostly recovered.  Apparently my disabilities for the week were not yet complete, however.  On Thursday my foot began to hurt, and to swell, such that I began using my cane, and trying to stay off it as the pain moved into the leg.  Concerned that it might be serious, I allowed myself to be taken to the emergency room Saturday night.  I don’t really know whether cellulitis is serious, but I am on an antibiotic and an anti-inflamatory, which seems to have reduced the swelling and the pain such that I am on one crutch mostly as a prophylactic and have not taken any of the narcotic pain medicine that was also prescribed.  That does not actually explain my absence yesterday.  Rather, I was invited to go for a ride to pick up the prescriptions and have a meal (I’m tempted to call it “linner”, which is not a word but which I have often used for that meal which is both lunch and dinner, in the same way that “brunch” is both breakfast and lunch), and as things were progressively added to the list this short trip ran from about three in the afternoon to sometime after midnight.  On the positive side, we picked up the viola our friend with the knack for designing and building instruments repaired for us (and got to play with some of his musical toys while visiting); oh, I I’ve managed over the past week to catch the first three episodes of Torchwood, a series I have long wanted to see and have found to be better than anticipated.

Despite my hobbling, I think I am not as bad off as Redferne, who discovered his own corpse in his own grave.  Of course, the real problem there, from a time travel perspective, lies in the fact that he also discovered the third part of the grimoire buried with him–and therein lies a major time travel problem for the story, because–well, best to let you read Warlock part 3:  unburied, the latest Examiner temporal anomalies article.

I’m looking at three new works from Eric Ashley.  Practise Bits:  Mentalist has someone psionically searching other universes from the comfort of his office.  Practise Bits:  Letter is chapter two of last week’s Practise Bits:  Magic.  Finally, Practise Bits:  Spellblade combines fantasy magic, high-tech weaponry, and swashbuckling swordplay in a compelling adventure of good versus evil.  Well, at least, that’s what the movie poster would say.

–M. J. Young

It’s Not the Cough that Carries You Off…

December 1, 2011 in Blogs

…It’s the coffin they carry you off in.

Susan Margaret Adams Kirkegard said that often in the times we knew her.  Cancer put her in hers earlier this year, and so the phrase has some melancholy to it; but it comes to mind because I have been unwell.  As I mentioned last time, the night after the parade I became feverish, and lost almost all of Monday and probably part of Tuesday to this illness.  Indeed, I am not certain quite that even now I am alright, but I also managed to transmit the bug to my wife, who missed two days of work and required my feeble assistance in caring for her.  Perhaps ironically, in the midst of this we also had to meet a deadline for handing in forms to continue our health care coverage, one of several significant errands which cut into my time yesterday.

Today’s Examiner temporal anomalies article is very much about a coffin–Redferne’s coffin, in which he discovers his own corpse and the third part of the vile grimoire he must keep from the Warlock.  Warlock part 2:  cough, cough begins discussing why this is significant, and why it is a problem, recalling that he is not the first time traveler to discover his own grave.

I did read the previously mentioned Eric Ashley articles.  They were not as good as the new one today, I think.  Practise Bits:  Troy seems a rather incongruous title for what is an excellent descriptive action piece with a resourceful central character.  Thanks for writing it.

I have been poking at the articles for Blackadder Back & Forth, which is coming together despite the fact that it is impossible in more ways than I have yet uncovered.  It is a very funny show from start to finish, that my wife, who is not particularly interested in time travel, has watched it twice in a week, and we both have sung snatches of the closing theme at odd moments.  Readership has slackened (although it often does when a new movie is introduced, picking up as the series continues), and I’m hoping that the popularity of this Rowan Atkinson classic will bring a few new readers.

–M. J. Young